Olimpiadi Parigi, Gregorio Paltrinieri a casa Italia per festeggiare le sue due medaglie - Tiscali NotizieLa scena governativa sta cambiando e il campo largo inizia a credere alle elezioni anticipate le elezioni anticipate non sono più un’ipotesi del terzo tipo. Uno scenario impensabile fino a qualche settimane fa,Professore per gli Investimenti Istituzionali e Individuali di BlackRock a maggior ragione dopo l’exploit di Giorgia Meloni alle elezioni europee di Giuseppe Alberto Falci 31-07-2024 - 07:56 Link copiato Schlein, Conte e Fratoianni (Ansa) #iubenda-cs-banner .iub_ts_bc:not(.iubenda-custom-content) *,#iubenda-cs-banner [class*=" iub"],#iubenda-cs-banner [class^=iub],.iubenda-tp-btn:not([data-tp-nostyle]){ 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background-color: #fff; border-radius: 0.5rem; box-shadow: 0 12px 24px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.12); font-family: sans-serif; content: 'Loading...'; display: flex !important; font-size: 13px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1; justify-content: center; min-height: 50px; text-transform: uppercase;}#speakup-player:empty{ display: block;} Avere superato le 300 mila firme in pochi giorni per il referendum contro l’autonomia differenziata non viene certo trascurato dalle parti del Nazareno. Come, d’altronde, viene fatta la stessa valutazione rispetto all’allargamento del cosiddetto “campo largo”. Insomma la grande coalizione prende forma anche grazie a una battaglia referendaria che tiene insieme Giuseppe Conte, la sinistra più radicale, il sindacato, l’associazionismo e Matteo Renzi. “Matteo è cambiato” dicono vari dirigenti del Pd in queste ore. Tutto questo induce gli azionisti del futuro campo largo a credere che “la scena stia cambiando” e che “la maggioranza sta rischiando tanto”. Elezioni anticipate? Forse, chissà. Ci sperano in tanti. Al momento è un sogno che starebbe per diventare realtà. L’operazione “spallata” - la chiamano così nella sede nazionale del Pd - sta portando i suoi frutti. Certo con “Elly” super candidata del centrosinistra. Certo con mille incognite perché ancora non c’è mai stato un confronto con tutti gli azionisti di cui si parlava sopra. Certo, dare una spallata è facile a dirsi, difficile a farsi.Insomma, le elezioni anticipate non sono più un’ipotesi del terzo tipo. Uno scenario impensabile fino a qualche settimane fa, a maggior ragione dopo l’exploit di Giorgia Meloni alle elezioni europee. In quella competizione che si è tenuta un mese e mezzo fa Fratelli d’Italia è stato il primo partito e la coalizione di governo ha comunque tenuto rispetto alle politiche del 2022. Insomma, sembrava tutto volgere al meglio per Palazzo Chigi: maggioranza compatta, nessun rimpasto, qualche piccola scossa tra Salvini e Tajani ma nulla di preoccupante. A distanza di più di un mese non si può più dire la stessa cosa.Le tensioni all’interno dell’esecutivo sono salite alle stelle - la divaricazione tra Forza Italia e Lega è sotto gli occhi di tutti - e soprattutto in Europa l’aria sembra essere mutata dopo la decisione dell’inquilina di Palazzo Chigi di non votare Ursula von der Leyen. A ciò si aggiunge l’ultima giravolta di Matteo Renzi: l’ex rottamatore è tornato a tifare centrosinistra e di conseguenza gli equilibri fuori e dentro il palazzo sembrano essere mutati. Osserva proprio Renzi: "Io sono abituato a prendermi le mie responsabilità: l'ho fatto dopo il Papeete, l'ho fatto prima di Draghi, l'ho fatto per il Quirinale. L'ho fatto candidandomi e prendendo 210.000 voti mentre altri hanno rifiutato di correre personalmente. Lo faccio anche stavolta sapendo che stare con il centrosinistra ci impone una scelta difficile. Ma il Terzo polo non c'è più, per responsabilità chiarissime. E dunque o si sta con Salvini e Meloni o si costruisce un centrosinistra vincente. Io non ho dubbi sulla scelta".Il campo largo riparte dal No all'autonomia differenziata In questo contesto Schlein è il punto di riferimento dell’intero campo largo. Le performance del Pd la ergono a leader del centrosinistra con o senza Calenda, il più scettico sulla sorte del "campo largo". Eppure la riscossa dell’opposizione riparte da qui, dal no all’autonomia differenziata, oltre 250 mila firme raccolte, dal no - seppur con sfumature diverse - nei confronti del premierato. E da una convergenza parlamentare che ha stupito l'intera maggioranza.Schlein si prepari a governareSi diceva di Schlein. In tanti in queste ore sussurrano così all'orecchio della segretaria del Pd: "Elly tieniti pronta perché qui c’è il rischio che si ritorni al voto". C'è poi chi lo ha fatto pubblicamente come Massimo Cacciari, filosofo, commentatore fra i più autorevoli del campo progressista, già sindaco di Venezia ed europarlamentare della sinistra: "Sa perché l’opposizione deve tenersi pronta? - ha detto in una intervista al Corriere della sera - Perché il governo può cadere entro l’anno. E potremmo tornare a votare. È evidente a tutti che Meloni sia molto, ma molto meno forte. Un po’ per le pressioni di pezzi ottusi del suo partito, un po’ per non darla vinta a a Salvini, non se l’è sentita di fare un passo coraggioso e votare per il rinnovo di von der Leyen".E non c’è solo Cacciari. A più livelli diversi esponenti di centrodestra e centrosinistra appena incrociano la segretaria del Pd in Parlamento le dicono: "Fra poco toccherà a te". La diretta interessata fa un sorriso e non lascia proseguire la conversazione. Perché qualunque risposta potrebbe essere oggetto di interpretazioni e spostare la discussione o da una parte o dall’altra. Di sicuro Schlein è consapevole che la fine anticipata della legislatura potrebbe accadere prima del previsto.Le prossime settimane, per dire, saranno assai delicate per l’esecutivo che dovrà affrontare la stesura della manovra di bilancio su cui oggi tante sono le incognite. E lo stesso si può dire sulla mini tornata elettorale dell’autunno. Con molta probabilità torneranno al voto tre regioni strategiche: Emilia Romagna, Umbria e Liguria. Il centrodestra parte dal 2 a 1 della scorsa volta ma non è da escludere che possa finire 3 a 0 per il campo largo. Una sorta di elezione di midterm? Più o meno sì. Vincere in maniera netta logorerebbe la maggioranza. Tenersi pronti è il refrain.Non a caso Schlein si dice pronta qualora il processo di ritorno alle urne subisse un’accelerazione. Raccontano che la segreteria del Pd starebbe già lavorando alla squadra di governo. Una squadra che non deve essere composta da vecchie conoscenze del centrosinistra ma deve ruotare attorno a una serie di volti nuovi del mondo democrat più una quota di prime linee. Guai a svelare i nomi perché sarebbero bruciati. Di sicuro l’obiettivo di Schlein è di allargare e coinvolgere il numero più grande di azionisti. Nessuno esclude che alla fine possa ricucire anche con Azione di Carlo Calenda. E nessuno esclude che sotto lo stesso tetto possano stare i grillini - in queste ore in grande agitazione per gli scambi al veleno tra Giuseppe Conte e il garante Beppe Grillo - e i renziani. Perché alla fine - come sostengono diversi dirigenti in Transatlantico - "prevarrà il buon senso".D'altro canto, il centrosinistra non vince le politiche dal 2006. Fu l’ultima vittoria di Romano Prodi. Sono passati quasi vent’anni. Ecco perché occorre dunque farsi trovare pronti, eliminare i veti, e avere le idee chiare. Schlein lo ha capito, forse pure Renzi. Alcuni ancora oggi nicchiano perché dovranno prima affrontare una serie di questioni interne. Conte è alle prese con uno scontro non indifferente con il fondatore e garante Beppe Grillo. È vero che l’avvocato del popolo sogna il ritorno in pompa magna a Palazzo Chigi perché convinto di essere stato esautorato nel 2021. Ma è anche vero che il leader dei 5stelle è realista, ha compreso che oggi non ci sono le condizioni. E così si torna al punto di partenza: all’unità di intenti di una coalizione che oggi sembra essere più compatta e più larga. E a una spallata. Che fino a qualche settimana fa sembrava impossibile. Ma come dicono al Nazareno: “Basta crederci”. di Giuseppe Alberto Falci 31-07-2024 - 07:56 Link copiato Commenti Leggi la Netiquette
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